This compares to a total of 386 A320neo family aircraft delivered in 2018, up from 181 and 68 in 2017 and 2016, respectively. All told, to buy either stock you will need to be bullish on commercial aviation. Forecast International’s International Military Markets service provides a country-by-country examination of the military capabilities, equipment requirements, and inventories of over 120 nations. Finally, the pandemic may well have a lasting effect on the public's willingness to fly. While the commercial aviation industry has been dealt a severe blow by the COVID-19 pandemic, it will surely recover over time, and investors are getting an opportunity to buy into the stocks at a significant discount. On that basis, Airbus is the better buy. Management had high hopes for the new 777X aircraft to spur a new round of wide-body replacement demand, while also benefiting from ongoing sales of the 787. Boeing's 737 Max has been grounded since mid-March of last year. Boeing 787-9 (Source: Air Lease Corporation) Boeing has endured a seemingly never-ending series of issues that raise questions about how the company is run. Let's take a look at which of the two stocks is a better buy on a risk/reward basis. In addition, the FAA will review and approve training programs for all part 121 operators. These include a number of evaluation reviews and reports to be held and issued by the FAA and the Joint Operations Evaluation Board (JOEB), which includes international partners from Canada, Europe, and Brazil. Industrial sector focus. Airbus delivered a record 112 A350s in 2019, up from 93 and 78 in 2018 and 2017, respectively. On May 27, Boeing announced it had resumed production of the 737 MAX in Renton, Washington. The number of Airbus aircraft to be built and delivered represents 8.8 years of shipments at the 2019 production level. Image The Boeing Co – The Boeing Co. When it came to plane sales, the company recorded its worst record in over five decades as it revealed no new orders in January. Meanwhile, the KC-46 tanker (a military aircraft) has had a raft of issues over the years. The A330 and A350 programs are reduced to a rate of two and six aircraft per month, respectively. Sign up for the latest blog posts and products sent straight to your inbox. And it will be a few years beyond that for the industry to return to long-term growth trends." In any case, it will be a few years before Boeing is able to hit the monthly production rate of 57 aircraft that was originally planned. For the full year 2019, Boeing accumulated 243 gross orders (330 cancellations => -87 net new orders). In addition, Airbus is furloughing 3,163 workers in Spain. Competition Boeing Vs Airbus. The latter figure represents 7.4% of Airbus's current market cap. Airbus released its final sales and production tally Monday, showing it delivered a total of 863 jets and won 768 net new orders in 2019. Production of the 737 MAX was suspended from January of this year until the end of May. North America. In the meantime, test flights and software changes continue. Post Script: Why not compare Boeing 737 MAX 8 vs Airbus A220/CS300 Many commentators have written in asking why don’t we compare a new plane (A220-300) with Boeing 737 MAX 8. Financial performance: Airbus vs Boeing. Boeing’s all-time backlog high of 5,964 aircraft was set in August 2018. With just 70 deliveries this year to date, Boeing is 169 shipments behind last year’s total for the first half of the year. Year-to-date, Boeing has accumulated 59 gross orders (382 cancellations => -323 net new orders). Both Boeing and Airbus plan to cut more than 30,000 jobs in all. Something completely different; first half a year Boeing results will be interesting, they will be announced on 29-Jul-2020. will be interesting to see, how many Max are pending to be delivered (including these, already stated as unlikely to be delivered in the books). Returns as of 01/12/2021. Widely criticized former CEO Dennis Muilenburg told investors a RTS would occur in October 2019, but the company is still waiting for it deep into 2020. Pricing for each region begins at $2,295, with discounted full-library subscriptions available. In comparison, Boeing’s backlog would “only” last 6.5 years at the 2018 level, which we use as a proxy for 2019 due to the severe drop in 737 MAX deliveries. Production rate assumptions were not changed on the 747 and 767 programs. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Airbus has cut production on several programs and is looking to hold underlying jet output at 40 percent below pre-pandemic plans for two years. Coverage includes Civil & Military Aviation, Military Weapons, International Military Markets, Defense Electronics, and Naval and Power Systems worldwide. Following the flights, the FAA announced that, while this was an important milestone, a number of key tasks remain. This particularly affects Boeing and its sales of 737 MAX aircraft. It doesn't stop there. And in few days we shall see the order and delivery for Jun-2020 for Boeing. For the full year 2018, Boeing booked 893 net new orders and 1,008 gross orders. EU financial assistance to Airbus, in addition to costing Boeing billions of dollars in sales, has contributed to Airbus replacing Boeing as the world’s largest aircraft manufacturer as of 2020. However, investors also need to consider the downside risks, and there appear to be more of them with Boeing than there are with Airbus right now. Airbus 2020 deliveries demonstrate resilience en. The individual country reports are structured to condense a vast range of information into concise segments. Airbus delivered more than 560 aircraft in 2020, according to tracking data and airline industry sources, putting it on course to beat arch-rival Boeing to be the world's largest planemaker for a second consecutive year. Airbus and Boeing both confronted a softer market for wide-body aircraft even before the coronavirus hit markets. Boeing vs airbus sales 2020. Boeing hopes to win regulatory approval in August for the jet’s return to service, although that could be pushed back until fall. Boeing and Airbus have reveled in a decade of airplane sales that outshined any other in history—but the period is ending on a sour note.. For over 45 years, Forecast International intelligence reports have been the aerospace and defense industry standard for accurate research, analysis, and projections. The US planemaker has delivered almost 10,563 737 aircraft. We protect your personal information as if it were our own and we do not provide or sell this information to any other group or organization. Your privacy is very important to us. Airbus A320neo vs. Boeing 737 MAX 8/9. In addition, it’s easy to forget that Boeing too… By comparison, Airbus racked up orders for 654 A320 aircraft, its popular single-aisle competitor to the Max. As many countries face the second wave of … Boeing vs. Airbus: The middle of the market battle Score another one for Airbus. For the full year 2019, Airbus handed over 642 A320 family aircraft, of which 551 were A320neos. by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent, Forecast International. Source: U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA). Based in Denmark, Joakim Kasper Oestergaard is Forecast International’s AeroWeb and PowerWeb Webmaster and European Editor. For example, Boeing generated $13.6 billion in FCF in 2018 (the year before the 737 MAX was grounded), representing over 15% of its current market cap. On April 27, Airbus announced that it had begun the process of furloughing more than 6,000 employees in Europe, including 3,200 production workers at its wing manufacturing site in Broughton, Wales, and another 3,000 workers in France. The 737 MAX is expected to remain grounded until at least August. The Boeing-Airbus rivalry started when Airbus offered four A300s to Eastern Airlines for a free six-month trial; the airlines liked the aircraft and ordered 23 more aircraft. Airbus has been struggling to grow its revenues in the last five years, having registered a CAGR of 0.97% since 2014 compared to its rival Boeing, whose revenues grew almost three times faster, at 2.74%, over the same period. On June 30, Airbus announced it plans to cut 14,000 jobs (5,000 in France, 5,100 in Germany, 900 in Spain, 1,700 in the U.K. and 1,300 elsewhere) as it deals with the effects of the coronavirus crisis. Follow me on Twitter to receive quick and thorough analysis of your favorite stocks. Defense & Security Monitor, an Aerospace & Defense blog by. In 2018, Boeing delivered 806 jets (763 in 2017), with Airbus handing over 800 (718 in 2017). Post was not sent - check your email addresses! In June, Boeing delivered 10 aircraft, including two 737NGs, one 747-8F, three 767s, one 777, and three 787s. The cases for buying stock in Airbus (OTC:EADSY) and Boeing (NYSE:BA) are pretty similar. Indeed, Boeing CEO David Calhoun said as much on the last earnings call: "[W]e currently estimate it will take around three years for travel to return to 2019 levels. In February 2020, Bombardier sold their stake in the program due to financial issues, surrounding the insolvency of the train manufacturing division of the company. By the end of June 2020, Boeing’s backlog (total unfilled orders before ASC 606 adjustment) was 5,232 aircraft, of which 4,221, or 81 percent, were 737 NG/MAX narrowbody jets. The top aircraft fleet executive at Alaska Airlines says its decision to sell 10 Airbus A320 jets will be followed by the gradual return of 39 more leased Airbus aircraft between now and 2023. However, the net order inflow was -1 for Airbus and -59 units for Boeing, and at this stage, Boeing and Airbus are both active in a loser’s market. Airlines have had to ground some 787 planes and manufacturing issues have been found. Due to COVID-19, both manufacturers have been forced to temporarily close down production facilities and have announced significant production rate cuts. A Forecast International blog about the arms trade, geopolitics, defense and security, and military spending. No rate cut has been announced for the A220 or the A380. Yet one is faring better than the other. Airbus has only delivered 9,086 A320 planes. Market data powered by FactSet and Web Financial Group. Turning to the orders race, in June, Boeing booked an order from FedEx for one 767-300F. Meanwhile, Airbus CEO Guillaume Faury thinks it will happen "somewhere between 2023 and 2025.". The European aerospace group announced Monday that it secured … Simply put, investors can be forgiven for throwing in the towel on Boeing, and the company really needs a blemish-free period in order to restore confidence. Airbus delivered a total of 196 jets from January to June, compared to 389 during the same period last year. Similarly, Airbus … Why Bombardier and Embraer can’t beat Airbus and Boeing… As stated earlier, Airbus and Boeing are the two largest manufacturers in the industry. Our experienced analysts compile, evaluate, and present accurate data for decision makers. Mr. Oestergaard has a Master’s Degree in Finance and International Business from the Aarhus School of Business – Aarhus University in Denmark. As of July 2020, over 300 Boeing 737 Max and roughly 29 Airbus A320 family aircraft orders were cancelled. This year to date, Boeing’s book-to-bill ratio, calculated as net new orders divided by deliveries, is negative due to cancellations exceeding gross orders. Asia, Australia & Pacific Rim The long-awaited trade agreement between the U.S. and China may pave the way for Boeing Co. to resume sales to the world’s second-largest … Boeing’s deliveries continue to suffer in the aftermath of two 737 MAX crashes and the subsequent deliveries halt and grounding of the fleet. Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. Turning to the second point, the recovery in commercial aviation is widely seen as being led by domestic flights rather than international, and that means narrow-body demand is likely to recover quicker than wide-body. I write about electrical equipment, transportation, and multi-industry industrial stocks. Fixing the 737 Max and getting it back in the air is crucial for Boeing. The A320 production rate has been reduced to 40 aircraft per month, down from an average of over 53 aircraft per month in 2019. Stock Advisor launched in February of 2002. Europe In January 2020, Boeing and Airbus delivered 13 and 31 commercial jets, respectively, compared to 46 and 39 deliveries in the same month last year. Blue collar workers physically making a better world. American Airlines put Boeing’s 737 MAX back in the air with passengers Tuesday on … Better Buy: Boeing vs. Airbus ... Apr 18, 2020 at 12:24PM Author Bio. Boeing vs. Airbus: The Aviation Industry’s Swinging Power Balance ... 12/29/2020. It shows Airbus began floating in US market after order of 25 A320 aircraft from Jet Blue. In the meantime, Boeing announced in May that it plans to cut 12,300 jobs, including nearly 10,000 in Washington. Airbus’ total jet deliveries were worth about $60 billion (U.S.) compared to Boeing’s $42 billion, based on market pricing estimates from aircraft valuation firm Avitas. Getting life-saving satellite imagery to where it’s needed most. This is 141 aircraft below the company’s all-time backlog record of 7,725 aircraft set in January 2020. The Airbus NSR is expected to be unveiled in the mid-2020’s to be released at the beginning of the 2030’s. The FAA will retain its authority to issue airworthiness certificates and export certificates for all new 737 MAX jets manufactured since the grounding and will perform in-person, individual reviews of these aircraft. FI's market research reports offer concise analysis of individual programs and identify market opportunities. In June, Airbus received no new orders but reported one cancellation. In the first quarter of 2020, it was 68.6. In 2008, he came up with the idea for what would eventually evolve into AeroWeb. ... As 2020 came around, Boeing was reporting some alarming numbers. For the full year 2019, Boeing delivered 380 aircraft, while Airbus set a new all-time annual record, handing over 863 jets. Navigating the DoD Acquisition Budget During Uncertain Times, Stay up to date on the latest from Forecast International, http://www.boeing.com/commercial/#/orders-deliveries, https://www.airbus.com/aircraft/market/orders-deliveries.html, https://www.faa.gov/news/updates/?newsId=93206, https://www.boeing.com/commercial/737max/737-max-update.page, https://boeing.mediaroom.com/news-releases-statements?item=130685, https://boeing.mediaroom.com/news-releases-statements?item=130673, https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2020-04-29-Boeing-Reports-First-Quarter-Results, https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/trafficandcommuting/faa-accused-of-stonewalling-by-senators-pursuing-changes-to-agencys-safety-role-after-boeing-737-max-crashes/2020/06/17/b5c44316-b0c6-11ea-856d-5054296735e5_story.html, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-boeing-737max/u-s-faa-chief-to-testify-at-senate-hearing-on-boeing-737-max-idUSKBN2392YZ, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-boeing-737max/boeing-737-max-expected-to-remain-grounded-until-at-least-august-sources-idUSKCN22A35G, https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/27/business/airbus-furloughs/index.html, https://www.seattletimes.com/business/boeing-aerospace/boeing-to-cut-nearly-10000-jobs-in-washington-more-than-12000-overall/, MTU Aero Engines Sees MRO Recovery In 2021, Airbus and Boeing Report November 2020 Commercial Aircraft Orders and Deliveries, United Aircraft Corporation the Centerpiece of Rostec’s Aviation Cluster, View all posts by Forecast International →, https://www.france24.com/en/20200630-airbus-to-cut-15-000-jobs-worldwide-a-third-of-them-in-france. In addition, Boeing and Airbus will have to make financial concessions to customers, and services revenue can come under threat as older planes are retired. Similarly, Airbus generated 3.5 billion euros in adjusted FCF in 2019 and had expected 4 billion euros in 2020 before the pandemic struck. The author has used the Platinum Forecast System to retrieve the latest delivery forecasts and, for 2020, Forecast International’s analysts expect Boeing and Airbus to deliver 255 and 490 commercial jets, respectively. Recently, Boeing carried out a second round of layoffs involving an additional 1,030 employees companywide. Meanwhile, the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has repeatedly stated that it has no timetable for the aircraft’s return to service. Prior to COVID-19, Airbus was targeting a 5 percent A320 rate increase to 63 jets per month from 2021, and was also discussing a further ramp-up with its supply chain that could have brought the production rate up to as high as 67 aircraft per month, or 804 per year, by 2023. Boeing and Airbus delivered 10 and 36 commercial jets in June 2020 compared to 37 and 76 deliveries, respectively, in the same month last year. Prior to this, Boeing had retained a deliveries lead over Airbus since 2012. As of 31 January 2020, Boeing had no outstanding unfulfilled orders for the 747-8I passenger version and 17 for the 747-8F freighter; Airbus had 11 A380s remaining to be delivered. Latin America & Caribbean Forecast International’s Platinum Forecast System is a breakthrough in forecasting technology which, among many other features, provides 15-year production forecasts. But the gap is closing. Sales … Eurasia Aircraft are being built at a low rate as more than a dozen initiatives focused on enhancing workplace safety and product quality are being implemented. At the end of June, Airbus’ reported a backlog of 7,584 jets, of which 6,694, or 88 percent, were A220 and A320ceo/neo family narrowbodies. Click here to learn more. Airbus’ book-to-bill ratio is 1.52, thanks mainly to very strong order bookings in January. The 737 MAX debacle is a huge issue in itself, but there's also the problem of management's credibility, particularly regarding a return-to-service (RTS) for the 737 MAX. Prior to this, Airbus had retained an orders lead over its rival every year since 2012. This is the main event. With just 70 deliveries this year to date, Boeing is 169 shipments behind last year’s total for the first half of the year. The 777-300ER backlog includes two 777-200LRs. In 2018, Airbus booked a total of 747 net new orders and 831 gross orders, thereby losing the 2018 orders race. Both aspirations will be severely challenged in the aftermath of the pandemic. The Airbus NSR (“New Short Range”) will be a short haul aircraft that can both travel a longer distance and carry more people than any A320 variant that has come before it. The combined 777/777X production rate will be reduced to three per month in 2021. 2020 is miserable for Boeing and Airbus, but not to equal amount As is confirmed by the results of aircraft deliveries and orders from the second quarter of 2020, production and sales of commercial aircraft by industry giants Boeing and Airbus shrank dramatically in comparison with 2019. However, Boeing is still ahead of Airbus in terms of actual delivery numbers. An aircraft control tower. In comparison, Boeing only delivered 20 aircraft in October and a dozen of these were not 737s. Over three days starting June 29, a number of 737 MAX certification flight tests were carried out by Boeing personnel and FAA officials to evaluate Boeing’s proposed changes to the automated flight control system. When Boeing presented its first-quarter 2020 results in April, it was announced that the 737 MAX production rate will gradually increase to 31 per month during 2021, with further gradual increases as market demand allows. Subscribe to receive up-to-date news on market developments, along with trend analysis and contract announcements. You may opt out of our email promotions at any time by selecting opt out, and your email address will be permanently removed from our list. But it's not the only major challenge facing the embattled aircraft maker. Prior to the recent 737 MAX production suspension, Boeing was manufacturing the jet at a reduced rate of 42 per month. Moreover, given the precedent set by the global reaction to COVID-19, it's possible that future outbreaks will be dealt with in a severe and pre-emptive fashion. Middle East & Africa The exact timing of a recovery is impossible to predict because it depends on a host of factors relating to the pandemic, not least of which are government restrictions on travel. Space 08 January 2021 Airbus signs multi-satellite contract with Intelsat for OneSat flexible satellites en. Aside from a second wave of the pandemic and associated travel restrictions, there's also the financial state of the airlines to consider. For the full year 2019, Airbus landed 1,131 gross orders (363 cancellations => net of 768), thereby retaking the orders crown from Boeing. Boeing also announced that the 787 production rate will be reduced from 14 per month to 10 per month this year, and gradually reduced to seven per month by 2022. 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